"Being elected for a third term, with almost 50 percent of the vote, is something that EU leaders can only dream of. After eight-and-a-half years in power, the Justice and Development Party (AKP) remains the most popular political party Turkey has had in decades.
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Erdoğan’s popularity is due in part to the strength of Turkey’s economy, which is now the 16th largest in the world, growing at a rate of around 6 percent annually since the AKP came to power. However, Turkey must start to tackle some financial weaknesses which are not much talked about but are on the increase, including a massive current account deficit (CAD), expected to exceed 9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) this year -- close to the levels that contributed to economic crises in Greece and Portugal -- and rising inflation.
While Erdoğan will return to office with an over-flowing in-tray both on the domestic and foreign policy fronts, replacing the 1982 Constitution is a top priority. Because the electorate denied Erdoğan a supermajority in Parliament, which would have given him the freedom to do whatever he pleased, the AKP fell short of the 330 seats required to rewrite the Constitution unilaterally. Therefore -- and probably for the better -- Erdoğan must seek consensus, formulating a new constitution that is inclusive and reflects the opinions of the entire country, as opposed to a “made-by-the-AKP”-style document which could have been disastrous. In particular, the Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) -- which also came out of these elections victorious -- will be a key party in the constitutional debate. This also means Erdoğan may not be able to proceed with his grand plan to transform Turkey’s political system from a parliamentary to a presidential one. It is no secret that Erdoğan aspires to be president...
As for relations with the EU, senior bureaucrats quickly congratulated Erdoğan. In a joint statement, President of the European Commission Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy said: “We are convinced the coming period offers new opportunities for further reforms, including work on a new constitution in the broadest possible consultation and a spirit of dialogue and compromise, and for strengthening confidence between Turkey and all EU member states. Progress in these fields should also give new impetus to the accession negotiations with the European Union.” "
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Erdoğan’s popularity is due in part to the strength of Turkey’s economy, which is now the 16th largest in the world, growing at a rate of around 6 percent annually since the AKP came to power. However, Turkey must start to tackle some financial weaknesses which are not much talked about but are on the increase, including a massive current account deficit (CAD), expected to exceed 9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) this year -- close to the levels that contributed to economic crises in Greece and Portugal -- and rising inflation.
While Erdoğan will return to office with an over-flowing in-tray both on the domestic and foreign policy fronts, replacing the 1982 Constitution is a top priority. Because the electorate denied Erdoğan a supermajority in Parliament, which would have given him the freedom to do whatever he pleased, the AKP fell short of the 330 seats required to rewrite the Constitution unilaterally. Therefore -- and probably for the better -- Erdoğan must seek consensus, formulating a new constitution that is inclusive and reflects the opinions of the entire country, as opposed to a “made-by-the-AKP”-style document which could have been disastrous. In particular, the Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) -- which also came out of these elections victorious -- will be a key party in the constitutional debate. This also means Erdoğan may not be able to proceed with his grand plan to transform Turkey’s political system from a parliamentary to a presidential one. It is no secret that Erdoğan aspires to be president...
As for relations with the EU, senior bureaucrats quickly congratulated Erdoğan. In a joint statement, President of the European Commission Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy said: “We are convinced the coming period offers new opportunities for further reforms, including work on a new constitution in the broadest possible consultation and a spirit of dialogue and compromise, and for strengthening confidence between Turkey and all EU member states. Progress in these fields should also give new impetus to the accession negotiations with the European Union.” "
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